Publications

The Quantification and Financial Impact of Political Risk Perceptions on Infrastructure Projects in Asia, Journal of Financial Management of Property and Construction, Winter 2008, Volume 13, Number 4 (authored with Tillmann Sachs of AIG and Robert Tiong of the National Technological University of Singapore).
Effective Transactional Risk Management, International Risk Management Institutewebsite, November 2007.
Political Risk Quantification Using Fuzzy Set Approach, Journal of Financial Management of Property and Construction, Volume 12, Number 2, August 2007.
Programa de Garantias y Sindicaciones del BAsD, El Exportador Financiero (Spain), June 2007.
El Papel del Banco Asiatico de Desarrollo en la Promocion de la Integracion Regional en Asia, El Exportador Financiero (Spain), March 2007.
The Impact of Terrorism on Foreign Direct Investment (chapter in: Terrorism – GlobalEconomic Impact), ICFAI Books (India), Chapter 7, January 2007 (edited by Professor E. Mrudula).
Putin’s Russia in 2007: Walking a Tightrope, International Risk Management Institute website, December 2006.
A Risky Business Quantified, IFR Asia, December 16, 2006 (co-authored with Tillmann Sachs and Robert Tiong of NTU).
A Matter of Perception, FDI Magazine, December 2006/January 2007 (co-authored with Tillmann Sachs and Robert Tiong of NTU).
The Expansion of ADB’s Guarantee Program, Berne Union Yearbook 2007, November 2006 (published in the name of ADB President Haruhiko Kuroda).
Will the Maoists of Nepal ever Disarm?, The Financial Express (India), September 2, 2006 (co-authored with Subhash Agrawal).
The Middle East: Towards the Abyss, The Financial Express (India), August 5, 2006 (co-authored with Subhash Agrawal).
Balancing Risk Against Returns, FDI Magazine, August/September, 2006.
Bolivia’s Larger Message, International Risk Management Institute website, May 2006.
New Development Finance Challenges for MDBs, IFR Asia Special Report, April 29, 2006.
The Lure of Profit, the Risk of Terror, FDI Magazine, April/May, 2006.
Investor: Beware, International Herald Tribune, March 8, 2006.
The Impact of Terrorism on Foreign Direct Investment, International Risk Management Institute website, February 2006.
Achieving Security in the Global Supply Chain, International Risk Management Institute website, October 2005.
Securing the Weakest Link, Trade Finance Magazine (Asian Trade Finance Supplement), August 2005.
Creating a Level Playing Field for Local Investors in the Developing World, International Risk Management Institute website, May 2005.
Local Access, Project Finance Magazine, April 2005.
Economic Growth First, Then Elections, South China Morning Post, March 3, 2005.
How to Help Thwart Terrorism, Asia Wall Street Journal, October 27, 2004.
Implications of Recurring Terrorism for Business, International Risk Management Institute website, May 2004.
A Western “Fix” for Iraq? Forget it, International Risk Management Institute website, April 2004.
Project Financiers’ and Insurers’ Role in Promoting Social Responsibility in the Developing World, appearing in “Investing in Stability: Conflict Risk, Markets and the Bottom Line”, United Nations Environment Program (Financial Initiatives), December 2003 (reprinted on the International Risk Management Institute website, January 2004).
The Role of ADB and Multilateral Development Banks in Addressing Political Risk in Asia, International Risk Management Institute website, October 2003.
Terrorism’s Impact on International Relations, International Risk Management Institute website, March 2003.
Political Risk Insurance in Asia: Who Purchases It, Where, and Why, International Risk Management Institute website, July 2002.
A Private Matter, Project Finance Magazine, July 2002.
The Battle Against Terrorism: A Battle for Stomachs, Hearts and Minds, International Risk Management Institute website, March 2002.
Political Risk in Asia: Fact or Fiction? International Risk Management Institute website, November 2001.
Asia’s Terrorist Conundrum, International Risk Management Institute website, October 2001.
Political Risk in Asia: The Need for Structural Reform and the Impact on Political Risk Insurance, International Risk Management Institute website, May 2001.
Primed for Change, Project Finance Magazine, March 2001.
Playing with Fire, Reinsurance Magazine, February 2001.
Defining Political Risk, International Risk Management Institute website, October 2000.
Political Risk in Post-Crisis Asia, International Risk Management Institute website, July 2000 (reprinted in “Asia Insurance Review”, October 2000).
The Impact of Political Change and How to Protect Your Business Against It, International Risk Management Institute website, April 2000.
Russia in 2000: The Implications of Political Change in the New Millennium, International Risk Management Institute website, March 2000.
Political Risk Insurance: The Cluster Phenomenon, Risk Management, September 1999 (reprinted in “International Political Economy”, October 1999).
The Resurgence of Political Risk Insurance, Risk Management, November 1997.
MIGA: Filling a Gap in Political Risk, Asia Today, May 1995.
A New World for Political Risk Investment Insurance, Risk Management, October 1994.
The Political Risks of Privatization, Leaders, January 1992.
Measuring Regional Risk, America Economia, December 1991.
Transition in Eastern Europe: The Case for Political Risk Insurance, The East/West Business Report, April 1991.
Trade and Political Risk Insurance, International Risk Management Institute, 1991.
Why Political Risk Insurance Will Grow in the 1990s, Risk Management, October 1990 (reprinted in “International Insurance Quarterly”, Winter 1991).
Communism’s Collapse in Eastern Europe: An Argument for Political Risk Insurance, Private Opinion, Spring 1990.
Combating Uncertainty with Political Risk Insurance, Bloc Magazine, February/March 1990.

Books

The Chinese Vortex

AI Supremacy

The America-China Divide

Virtual Terror

China Vision

Global Risk Agility and Decision Making

Managing Country Risk

Political Risk Insurance Guide

Polycrisis

China

Articles